Post by slapnut19 on Mar 17, 2024 13:31:10 GMT -6
It wouldn't surprise me if this happened. The idea of selling the farm to move up for a college kid in a process where one in 4 drafted qb's actually has a decent NFL career is just high stakes gambling. I'm skeptical that we are really going to do that.
Having the 11 and 23 does do one thing I haven't seen mentioned - it creates draft day trade leverage that doesn't necessarily have to be exercised. If the Vikings have offers to teams ahead of them of both those picks, it makes it harder for teams behind them to jump up. And frankly the only teams behind them that I think might try are the Raiders and Broncos.
If those teams go looking to deal and the potential partners say "we need 3 #1's to get your offer up to the level of the Vikings offer" (because two of them are in the future and thus worth less), the Vikings with their two #1's this year may succeed in pricing out a trade ahead of them without actually having to make a deal, thus allowing a guy like JJ McCarthy to maybe fall to 11, assuming the hype on him is real (something I'm also skeptical of). That's only if Denver or Las Vegas balk at the idea of 3 #1's, maybe they just go crazy and think McCarthy or whoever is worth that. Crazy imo, but that's just my opinion.
It's a bit of 3D chess playing but not beyond the realm of the possible.
Waiting until 2025 is the smartest if you look at the numbers.
Last year we had 4 teams draft QBs that took them out of the market this year and next. This year we will have between 4-6 other teams with QBs they draft. So figure 10 teams out of the market with young players. Then add the teams already tied up with proven starters and the competition will be much less. And if we do worse in 2024 we will have a naturally higher pick plus young, developing players. Next year is shaping up to be the best time to grab the starter.
not if the guy they want is in this year's draft