Defensive Saves & Offensive Conversions 2017-22
Jan 12, 2023 20:08:34 GMT -6
Reignman, Funkytown, and 3 more like this
Post by Danchat on Jan 12, 2023 20:08:34 GMT -6
The Vikings have been lights-out in the final 5 minutes on both offense and defense this year, why we don't we find out how crazy it's been? Here's a quick study documenting how the Vikings have fared in one possession games in the final 5:00 since 2017.
Key: 1P = One Possession
Def Save / Fail = The defense stopped the offense from tying/taking the lead in the final 5:00. Includes any potential game-winning drive in OT
Off Conv / Fail = The offense tied or took the lead within 5:00. Includes every drive in OT as they have a chance to end the game immediately
D Save from Missed FG = How many saves resulted from the other team missing a kick
O Fail from Missed FG = How many conversions were lost that would have been clinched by a FG
Holy bacon, 15 defensive saves this year, that's ludicrous! Donatell's extreme bend-nearly-break defense has been an incredibly 15 for 18 in such situations. Meanwhile the offense has been easily the best since 2017, finally clearing the 50% mark. With 7 games not having a one score finish, this means the 18 defensive situations occurred over 10 games, so the defense had to stop the opposing offense within 5:00 nearly twice a game!
I think it's notable that in 2017-2019, Zimmer's teams either had 2 score leads or deficits by the time the late 4th quarter struck. Only 10 defensive fails over 4 years is impressive. Meanwhile, the first three years with Cousins brought a drought of offensive comebacks, going a paltry 4 for 13 in such situations.
Kirk Cousins and the offense turned a corner in 2021, as 17 conversions over a two year stretch would probably lead the league if I had the time to calculate this for every other team. Only 6 games over this stretch were out of reach by the 5:00 mark, which is impressive. However, their inability to put games away showed, as the defense has needed to make a save 32 times over those 34 games! That's compared to 31 times over the previous 4 years.
I added on missed FGs because I figured some would ask. The 2018 team only had 4 chances when under 5:00/OT, with 3 of them coming in the fateful Packers game which resulted in a game-tying TD and two missed FGs from Carlson. Meanwhile, the defense didn't give up a single game-tying drive or go-ahead score in that stretch! If only our current Vikings could have the 2017-18 defense behind them!
Conclusions: Our defense is having one of the weirdest statistical years ever, completely crappy before 5:00 but lights out after. Our offense turned a corner in 2021. Pre-2021 Zimmer's teams usually had the win or loss wrapped up by the 5:00 mark. Finally, this is only a small look at these teams and shouldn't be used the judge the whole season, given as how there are another 55 minutes to be played in these games.
Thoughts?
Key: 1P = One Possession
Def Save / Fail = The defense stopped the offense from tying/taking the lead in the final 5:00. Includes any potential game-winning drive in OT
Off Conv / Fail = The offense tied or took the lead within 5:00. Includes every drive in OT as they have a chance to end the game immediately
D Save from Missed FG = How many saves resulted from the other team missing a kick
O Fail from Missed FG = How many conversions were lost that would have been clinched by a FG
Holy bacon, 15 defensive saves this year, that's ludicrous! Donatell's extreme bend-nearly-break defense has been an incredibly 15 for 18 in such situations. Meanwhile the offense has been easily the best since 2017, finally clearing the 50% mark. With 7 games not having a one score finish, this means the 18 defensive situations occurred over 10 games, so the defense had to stop the opposing offense within 5:00 nearly twice a game!
I think it's notable that in 2017-2019, Zimmer's teams either had 2 score leads or deficits by the time the late 4th quarter struck. Only 10 defensive fails over 4 years is impressive. Meanwhile, the first three years with Cousins brought a drought of offensive comebacks, going a paltry 4 for 13 in such situations.
Kirk Cousins and the offense turned a corner in 2021, as 17 conversions over a two year stretch would probably lead the league if I had the time to calculate this for every other team. Only 6 games over this stretch were out of reach by the 5:00 mark, which is impressive. However, their inability to put games away showed, as the defense has needed to make a save 32 times over those 34 games! That's compared to 31 times over the previous 4 years.
I added on missed FGs because I figured some would ask. The 2018 team only had 4 chances when under 5:00/OT, with 3 of them coming in the fateful Packers game which resulted in a game-tying TD and two missed FGs from Carlson. Meanwhile, the defense didn't give up a single game-tying drive or go-ahead score in that stretch! If only our current Vikings could have the 2017-18 defense behind them!
Conclusions: Our defense is having one of the weirdest statistical years ever, completely crappy before 5:00 but lights out after. Our offense turned a corner in 2021. Pre-2021 Zimmer's teams usually had the win or loss wrapped up by the 5:00 mark. Finally, this is only a small look at these teams and shouldn't be used the judge the whole season, given as how there are another 55 minutes to be played in these games.
Thoughts?
... and neither is this Chris guy.