Post by Funkytown on Dec 11, 2022 0:54:57 GMT -6
We all know what a win against Detroit means. Do we get it done in Week 14, or do we have to wait a bit longer? Regardless, our Vikes are a shoo-in for the playoffs. Shall we discuss?
Let's start here:
Current Standings:
Seeding - Where do you think the Vikings ultimately land? #1, #2, #3 ... ?
What team(s) would you prefer avoiding in Round 1?
FPI:
Efficiencies:
Remaining Games:
Here is a lot of useful information in this piece:
Smooooooth sailing, right?!
A closer look at remaining schedules:
Our Vikes:
The three we should be most worried about:
Maybe some are more worried about Washington than the 49ers? I guess we'll see how relevant Mr. Irrelevant is! But if he can find a way to be somewhere close to average, they have a lot of weapons on offense, and...
--
Well, there it is, folks! What say you?! Our Vikes have the easiest remaining schedule in the NFC, and second-easiest in the whole league. It'll be a cakewalk to stay at #2, right? Right?!
*knocks on lots of wood*
Oh yeah, it's our Vikes! Nothing is ever easy, huh?
What about some things to fix for the playoffs? What are your biggest concerns?
- Over-reliance on JJ?
- Third quarter disappearing acts?
- ...the defense?
- Greg Joseph's reliability
- Holding onto leads?
- OL?
- DL? Lack of pressure in recent weeks?
Let's start here:
Current Standings:
Seeding - Where do you think the Vikings ultimately land? #1, #2, #3 ... ?
What team(s) would you prefer avoiding in Round 1?
FPI:
Efficiencies:
Remaining Games:
Here is a lot of useful information in this piece:
Smooooooth sailing, right?!
A closer look at remaining schedules:
Our Vikes:
Minnesota Vikings (.397 SOS)
Sunday, 12/11: @ Detroit (5-7)
Saturday, 12/17: vs. Indianapolis (4-8-1)
Saturday, 12/24: vs. New York Giants (7-4-1)
Sunday, 1/1: @ Green Bay (5-8)
Sunday, 1/8: @ Chicago (3-10)
Sunday, 12/11: @ Detroit (5-7)
Saturday, 12/17: vs. Indianapolis (4-8-1)
Saturday, 12/24: vs. New York Giants (7-4-1)
Sunday, 1/1: @ Green Bay (5-8)
Sunday, 1/8: @ Chicago (3-10)
The three we should be most worried about:
Philadelphia Eagles (.508 SOS)
Sunday, 12/11: @ NY Giants (7-4-1)
Sunday, 12/18: @ Chicago (3-10)
Saturday, 12/24: @ Dallas (9-3)
Sunday, 1/1: vs. New Orleans (4-8)
Sunday, 1/8: vs. NY Giants (7-4-1)
Sunday, 12/11: @ NY Giants (7-4-1)
Sunday, 12/18: @ Chicago (3-10)
Saturday, 12/24: @ Dallas (9-3)
Sunday, 1/1: vs. New Orleans (4-8)
Sunday, 1/8: vs. NY Giants (7-4-1)
Dallas Cowboys (.508 SOS)
Sunday, 12/11: vs. Houston Texans (1-10-1)
Sunday, 12/18: @ Jacksonville (4-8)
Saturday, 12/24: vs. Philadelphia (11-1)
Thursday, 12/29: @ Tennessee (7-5)
Sunday, 1/8: @ Washington (7-5-1)
Sunday, 12/11: vs. Houston Texans (1-10-1)
Sunday, 12/18: @ Jacksonville (4-8)
Saturday, 12/24: vs. Philadelphia (11-1)
Thursday, 12/29: @ Tennessee (7-5)
Sunday, 1/8: @ Washington (7-5-1)
San Francisco 49ers (.475 SOS)
Sunday, 12/11: vs. Tampa Bay (5-6)
Thursday, 12/15: @ Seattle (7-5)
Saturday, 12/24: vs. Washington (7-5-1)
Sunday, 1/1: @ Las Vegas (5-7)
Sunday, 1/8: vs. Arizona (4-8)
Sunday, 12/11: vs. Tampa Bay (5-6)
Thursday, 12/15: @ Seattle (7-5)
Saturday, 12/24: vs. Washington (7-5-1)
Sunday, 1/1: @ Las Vegas (5-7)
Sunday, 1/8: vs. Arizona (4-8)
--
Well, there it is, folks! What say you?! Our Vikes have the easiest remaining schedule in the NFC, and second-easiest in the whole league. It'll be a cakewalk to stay at #2, right? Right?!
*knocks on lots of wood*
Oh yeah, it's our Vikes! Nothing is ever easy, huh?
There are plenty of ways to view the Vikings' wild season. Among them is lucky. According to data analysis performed by the NFL's football operations department, the Vikings have had more net win probability added than all but four teams via plays that it describes as "almost entirely derived from opponent performance or lucky bounces."
(The metric includes opponents' dropped passes and interceptions, along with missed kicks and fumble recoveries.)
The Vikings, after all, are 10-2 but have outscored their opponents on the season by only 10 points and are being outgained by an average of 63 yards per game. But one viewpoint seems indisputable: The Vikings are finding ways to win in close games, the dominant environment of the NFL season, at a higher frequency than any other team.
There have been 85 games decided by a touchdown or less this season, the most ever through the first 13 weeks of a season. A total of 147 games have been within one score at some point in the fourth quarter, also the most in NFL history during that span. Sunday, the Vikings allowed the Jets to cut a 12-point fourth-quarter lead to five but then turned away two separate drives into the red zone over the final two minutes of the game.
"In the fourth quarter it feels normal," said safety Camryn Bynum, who sealed the game via a goal-line interception with 10 seconds remaining. "It feels like any other play. I know pressure is on us. We're in the red zone. Fourth down. One play to lose the game or win the game. To us, that's normal football."
And it's certainly closer to playoff football, at least based on recent trends. Over the past five seasons, from 2017-21, average point differential in the postseason (9.7) has dropped about 16% from that of regular-season games (11.6). If the decrease from this season's average point differential (9.5) carries over to the playoffs in a corresponding way, then the average 2022 postseason game will be decided by one possession (7.9 points).
(The metric includes opponents' dropped passes and interceptions, along with missed kicks and fumble recoveries.)
The Vikings, after all, are 10-2 but have outscored their opponents on the season by only 10 points and are being outgained by an average of 63 yards per game. But one viewpoint seems indisputable: The Vikings are finding ways to win in close games, the dominant environment of the NFL season, at a higher frequency than any other team.
There have been 85 games decided by a touchdown or less this season, the most ever through the first 13 weeks of a season. A total of 147 games have been within one score at some point in the fourth quarter, also the most in NFL history during that span. Sunday, the Vikings allowed the Jets to cut a 12-point fourth-quarter lead to five but then turned away two separate drives into the red zone over the final two minutes of the game.
"In the fourth quarter it feels normal," said safety Camryn Bynum, who sealed the game via a goal-line interception with 10 seconds remaining. "It feels like any other play. I know pressure is on us. We're in the red zone. Fourth down. One play to lose the game or win the game. To us, that's normal football."
And it's certainly closer to playoff football, at least based on recent trends. Over the past five seasons, from 2017-21, average point differential in the postseason (9.7) has dropped about 16% from that of regular-season games (11.6). If the decrease from this season's average point differential (9.5) carries over to the playoffs in a corresponding way, then the average 2022 postseason game will be decided by one possession (7.9 points).
What about some things to fix for the playoffs? What are your biggest concerns?
- Over-reliance on JJ?
- Third quarter disappearing acts?
- ...the defense?
- Greg Joseph's reliability
- Holding onto leads?
- OL?
- DL? Lack of pressure in recent weeks?
Let's talk PLAYOFFS?!?!?!