Post by Purple Pain on Jul 6, 2021 18:17:35 GMT -6
Series from Arif Hasan (The Athletic):
Note: This is the first in a series of articles as we go position-by-position breaking down every player on the Minnesota Vikings roster as we build up to the start of training camp later this month. First up, the quarterbacks. Still to come: Running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, offensive linemen, defensive linemen, linebackers, cornerbacks and safeties.
Minnesota Vikings positional previews: A make or break year for QB Kirk Cousins?
theathletic.com/2688484/2021/07/05/minnesota-vikings-roster-breakdown-a-make-or-break-year-for-qb-kirk-cousins/
Note: This is the first in a series of articles as we go position-by-position breaking down every player on the Minnesota Vikings roster as we build up to the start of training camp later this month. First up, the quarterbacks. Still to come: Running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, offensive linemen, defensive linemen, linebackers, cornerbacks and safeties.
Minnesota Vikings positional previews: A make or break year for QB Kirk Cousins?
Last year was the first year that the Vikings relied more on Kirk Cousins than they did their defense — and the end results weren’t great. The team’s 7-9 mark wasn’t Cousins’ fault, but it could have reinforced the need to make sure the Vikings have a complete team instead of relying solely on the quarterback. It might have also been part of the motivation behind drafting Kellen Mond in the third round.
If Cousins wants to stave off competition from Mond and earn an extension beyond 2022, he’ll have to bring the Vikings to the playoffs and then some. That’s something well within his capabilities, but the results haven’t been quite there yet.
His durability has allowed the Vikings to avoid the question about the talent of their backups, but the NFL changes quickly and the talent of those behind Cousins could end up playing a big role as well.
For the most part, as the quarterback goes, so goes his team.
Kirk Cousins
It’s easy to sympathize with Kirk Cousins’ place in the NFL, a player who performs statistically like a high-end quarterback but is never seriously considered to be an elite passer. A lot of that sympathy disappeared quickly for Vikings fans, who are aware of how much cap space Cousins takes up and what’s to be expected of him as the leader of the franchise. The Vikings don’t seem as committed to Cousins as they once were after drafting Mond in the third round, though a pristine performance in 2021 would ease any concerns they might have had.
Strengths: In many ways, Cousins serves as perfect quarterback teaching tape given his strong grasp of the fundamentals. He demonstrates excellent pre-snap awareness and defensive diagnosis that allows him to identify the correct first read and he layers that understanding with good post-snap processing. As a rhythm thrower, he does a good job getting the ball out on time and before the route breaks for receivers and excels at ball placement and accuracy in standard situations. He has demonstrated accuracy to all three levels of the field over the past several years and avoids turning the ball over — of 42 quarterbacks since 2018 with at least 500 attempts, Cousins has the sixth-lowest turnover-worthy play rate. Of the 30 with at least 750 attempts, Cousins ranks fourth, behind Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. He is excellent on play-action and does a great job of handling the ball. Has good arm strength and can thread tight windows or push the ball deep on a low trajectory. Has a strong arm, good accuracy and excellent pre-snap reads make him a good red zone quarterback; of 43 QBs with 75-plus red zone attempts in the last three years, Cousins ranks third in first-down rate, seventh in touchdown rate and fourth in adjusted net yards per dropback.
Weaknesses: Issues with situational awareness cropped up again in 2020 as his third-down rate dropped and he only managed one fourth-quarter comeback despite ample opportunity. That echoes issues from 2019, where he only earned one such comeback. Performance against pressure and the blitz dropped as well. While he is generally aggressive, he doesn’t ratchet up his aggressiveness when necessary, which is likely one of the causes of his poor play from behind. He over-relies on structure and is poor with improvisational play, ranking 18th of 25 quarterbacks in EPA per play when on the move against pressure. His accuracy has limitations, too. He is above average at getting the ball to receivers but below average creating optimal catch opportunities for YAC or preventing unnecessary receiver adjustments to the ball. Still has a relatively high rate of fumbles under pressure.
Kellen Mond
The amount of hope Vikings fans are placing in Kellen Mond can sometimes be a little amusing given his draft pedigree, but it’s difficult to blame fans for wanting more than the disappointing results they’ve seen from the team so far. As a third-round pick, Mond is neither expected to be a camp body nor an instant starter. Given the luxury of development at the cost of security and front-end compensation, Mond will be an interesting test case for the Vikings’ offensive coaching staff.
Strengths: Mond has a strong arm and a quick release and has blended those two assets together exceptionally well, finding ways to overcome tight windows and timing errors to get the ball to his receivers. Does an excellent job avoiding turnovers and keeping the ball out of harm’s way. Has a positive approach to pressure; not fazed by players in the pocket and gets rid of the ball quickly. Good intuition for attacking blitzes and punishing teams for vacated defenders. His pre-snap reads are typically on point and he knows where to go with the ball off the jump. Can manipulate safeties with his eyes, holding them to the opposite side of his throw. Good athlete, has quick feet and a lot of speed, demonstrating both agility and straight-line speed. Durable; he didn’t miss a start for Texas A&M.
Weaknesses: Accuracy isn’t always there and occasional timing issues magnify the problem. Ball placement is a problem and can limit YAC on otherwise YAC-friendly plays or make catches more difficult than they need to be. Has issues with the deep ball, both in terms of accuracy and pulling the trigger; can ignore reads for deep throws when they’re open. These problems severely limit the big-play capability of his offense — Texas A&M ranked 83rd in the rate of plays going over 20 yards in 2020. Despite timidity in deep-ball decision-making, he can be too aggressive over the middle and in tight windows. It never turned into a turnover problem in college but could in the NFL. While he can move through progressions quickly and manipulate safeties, he can get stuck staring a receiver down if his pre-snap read is correct. His athleticism isn’t integrated into his play; he’s not a particularly proficient scrambler and is not great at throwing on the run.
Jake Browning
Thrust into a more important role with the departure of Sean Mannion, Jake Browning looks like the primary backup quarterback — at least until Mond learns enough to take on the role. His position as the primary backup isn’t particularly secure either; not only may Mond develop faster than the Vikings expect, but Stanley could improve enough to supplant Browning. For now, however, Browning looks like the break-glass-in-case-of-emergency option.
Strengths: Browning improved in 2019 and 2020 training camp in terms of arm strength and ball velocity and had some opportunity in the 2019 preseason to showcase his improvement. Great at reading defenses, both pre- and post-snap. Quick decision-maker and gets rid of the ball on time — throws at the break and on top of the drop, showcasing anticipation. Accuracy is generally quite good. Quick, developed footwork both as a dropback passer and throwing on the run.
Weaknesses: Even with improved mechanics, he has worrisome arm strength. His arm velocity issues were so bad coming in as a rookie that the Vikings placed Browning on the practice squad primarily to improve that quality. Early showings in minicamp still demonstrate velocity is a problem, with single-coverage throws turning into double coverage by the time the ball arrives. His accuracy intermediate and short doesn’t mean much when throwing deep as the ball can be late on deeper throws. Not much of a tight window thrower and needs more space to feel comfortable pulling the trigger. Performance against pressure can be too risk-averse; he is quick to check down and avoids big-play opportunities when scrambling. Has difficulty improvising when first reads aren’t there and prefers to scramble over getting to the later reads in a progression. Despite good movement in the pocket, he doesn’t threaten much as an athlete and gains minimal yardage as a runner. There hasn’t been much opportunity to see if his mechanical changes have stuck — no 2020 preseason and limited 2019 preseason reps.
Nate Stanley
The Vikings have brought in quite a few rookie quarterbacks from the Big Ten over the years, but Stanley might be the first one to stick around, having already outperformed Mitch Leidner, James Vandenberg and Joel Stave in their camp showings. In some ways, his skill set is the inverse of Browning’s. Stanley’s performances in minicamp this season have already exceeded his training camp showings, but he still has a long way to go to make the roster.
Strengths: Like Mond, has a remarkably strong arm and a willingness to use it to challenge tight windows. Stands strong in the pocket and is willing to take hits against pressure. Is an aggressive thrower against the blitz and had one of the best ratios of big plays to turnovers when facing extra defenders in the pocket. Overall big-play-to-turnover ratio was one of the best in the FBS as well. Good accuracy on deep throws. Avoids turnovers in general. Showcased durability at Iowa with 39 consecutive starts. Familiar with West Coast principles.
Weaknesses: Looked good in play-action, but had limited attempts at Iowa relative to peers and the Vikings offense. Performance degraded more than most quarterbacks when pressured. Didn’t have trouble facing down defenders, but his biggest issue with turnovers cropped up against pressure. Like Mond, he’s not as aggressive downfield as he could be, especially given his accuracy advantage downfield. He’s maybe a little too quick to go to checkdowns. Deep accuracy is the only level of accuracy he’s had success with and that has the highest volatility and most limited sample size; accuracy intermediate and short is extremely worrisome. He holds on to the ball too long and doesn’t throw with timing, and getting the ball out late gives defenders chances to close on routes. Slower processor might not be fixable in the NFL. Doesn’t use extra time to scan progression; often stares receivers down. Doesn’t move as well as he tested and has issues creating additional yardage past the line of scrimmage or avoiding rushers once they arrive in the pocket.
If Cousins wants to stave off competition from Mond and earn an extension beyond 2022, he’ll have to bring the Vikings to the playoffs and then some. That’s something well within his capabilities, but the results haven’t been quite there yet.
His durability has allowed the Vikings to avoid the question about the talent of their backups, but the NFL changes quickly and the talent of those behind Cousins could end up playing a big role as well.
For the most part, as the quarterback goes, so goes his team.
Kirk Cousins
It’s easy to sympathize with Kirk Cousins’ place in the NFL, a player who performs statistically like a high-end quarterback but is never seriously considered to be an elite passer. A lot of that sympathy disappeared quickly for Vikings fans, who are aware of how much cap space Cousins takes up and what’s to be expected of him as the leader of the franchise. The Vikings don’t seem as committed to Cousins as they once were after drafting Mond in the third round, though a pristine performance in 2021 would ease any concerns they might have had.
Strengths: In many ways, Cousins serves as perfect quarterback teaching tape given his strong grasp of the fundamentals. He demonstrates excellent pre-snap awareness and defensive diagnosis that allows him to identify the correct first read and he layers that understanding with good post-snap processing. As a rhythm thrower, he does a good job getting the ball out on time and before the route breaks for receivers and excels at ball placement and accuracy in standard situations. He has demonstrated accuracy to all three levels of the field over the past several years and avoids turning the ball over — of 42 quarterbacks since 2018 with at least 500 attempts, Cousins has the sixth-lowest turnover-worthy play rate. Of the 30 with at least 750 attempts, Cousins ranks fourth, behind Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. He is excellent on play-action and does a great job of handling the ball. Has good arm strength and can thread tight windows or push the ball deep on a low trajectory. Has a strong arm, good accuracy and excellent pre-snap reads make him a good red zone quarterback; of 43 QBs with 75-plus red zone attempts in the last three years, Cousins ranks third in first-down rate, seventh in touchdown rate and fourth in adjusted net yards per dropback.
Weaknesses: Issues with situational awareness cropped up again in 2020 as his third-down rate dropped and he only managed one fourth-quarter comeback despite ample opportunity. That echoes issues from 2019, where he only earned one such comeback. Performance against pressure and the blitz dropped as well. While he is generally aggressive, he doesn’t ratchet up his aggressiveness when necessary, which is likely one of the causes of his poor play from behind. He over-relies on structure and is poor with improvisational play, ranking 18th of 25 quarterbacks in EPA per play when on the move against pressure. His accuracy has limitations, too. He is above average at getting the ball to receivers but below average creating optimal catch opportunities for YAC or preventing unnecessary receiver adjustments to the ball. Still has a relatively high rate of fumbles under pressure.
Kellen Mond
The amount of hope Vikings fans are placing in Kellen Mond can sometimes be a little amusing given his draft pedigree, but it’s difficult to blame fans for wanting more than the disappointing results they’ve seen from the team so far. As a third-round pick, Mond is neither expected to be a camp body nor an instant starter. Given the luxury of development at the cost of security and front-end compensation, Mond will be an interesting test case for the Vikings’ offensive coaching staff.
Strengths: Mond has a strong arm and a quick release and has blended those two assets together exceptionally well, finding ways to overcome tight windows and timing errors to get the ball to his receivers. Does an excellent job avoiding turnovers and keeping the ball out of harm’s way. Has a positive approach to pressure; not fazed by players in the pocket and gets rid of the ball quickly. Good intuition for attacking blitzes and punishing teams for vacated defenders. His pre-snap reads are typically on point and he knows where to go with the ball off the jump. Can manipulate safeties with his eyes, holding them to the opposite side of his throw. Good athlete, has quick feet and a lot of speed, demonstrating both agility and straight-line speed. Durable; he didn’t miss a start for Texas A&M.
Weaknesses: Accuracy isn’t always there and occasional timing issues magnify the problem. Ball placement is a problem and can limit YAC on otherwise YAC-friendly plays or make catches more difficult than they need to be. Has issues with the deep ball, both in terms of accuracy and pulling the trigger; can ignore reads for deep throws when they’re open. These problems severely limit the big-play capability of his offense — Texas A&M ranked 83rd in the rate of plays going over 20 yards in 2020. Despite timidity in deep-ball decision-making, he can be too aggressive over the middle and in tight windows. It never turned into a turnover problem in college but could in the NFL. While he can move through progressions quickly and manipulate safeties, he can get stuck staring a receiver down if his pre-snap read is correct. His athleticism isn’t integrated into his play; he’s not a particularly proficient scrambler and is not great at throwing on the run.
Jake Browning
Thrust into a more important role with the departure of Sean Mannion, Jake Browning looks like the primary backup quarterback — at least until Mond learns enough to take on the role. His position as the primary backup isn’t particularly secure either; not only may Mond develop faster than the Vikings expect, but Stanley could improve enough to supplant Browning. For now, however, Browning looks like the break-glass-in-case-of-emergency option.
Strengths: Browning improved in 2019 and 2020 training camp in terms of arm strength and ball velocity and had some opportunity in the 2019 preseason to showcase his improvement. Great at reading defenses, both pre- and post-snap. Quick decision-maker and gets rid of the ball on time — throws at the break and on top of the drop, showcasing anticipation. Accuracy is generally quite good. Quick, developed footwork both as a dropback passer and throwing on the run.
Weaknesses: Even with improved mechanics, he has worrisome arm strength. His arm velocity issues were so bad coming in as a rookie that the Vikings placed Browning on the practice squad primarily to improve that quality. Early showings in minicamp still demonstrate velocity is a problem, with single-coverage throws turning into double coverage by the time the ball arrives. His accuracy intermediate and short doesn’t mean much when throwing deep as the ball can be late on deeper throws. Not much of a tight window thrower and needs more space to feel comfortable pulling the trigger. Performance against pressure can be too risk-averse; he is quick to check down and avoids big-play opportunities when scrambling. Has difficulty improvising when first reads aren’t there and prefers to scramble over getting to the later reads in a progression. Despite good movement in the pocket, he doesn’t threaten much as an athlete and gains minimal yardage as a runner. There hasn’t been much opportunity to see if his mechanical changes have stuck — no 2020 preseason and limited 2019 preseason reps.
Nate Stanley
The Vikings have brought in quite a few rookie quarterbacks from the Big Ten over the years, but Stanley might be the first one to stick around, having already outperformed Mitch Leidner, James Vandenberg and Joel Stave in their camp showings. In some ways, his skill set is the inverse of Browning’s. Stanley’s performances in minicamp this season have already exceeded his training camp showings, but he still has a long way to go to make the roster.
Strengths: Like Mond, has a remarkably strong arm and a willingness to use it to challenge tight windows. Stands strong in the pocket and is willing to take hits against pressure. Is an aggressive thrower against the blitz and had one of the best ratios of big plays to turnovers when facing extra defenders in the pocket. Overall big-play-to-turnover ratio was one of the best in the FBS as well. Good accuracy on deep throws. Avoids turnovers in general. Showcased durability at Iowa with 39 consecutive starts. Familiar with West Coast principles.
Weaknesses: Looked good in play-action, but had limited attempts at Iowa relative to peers and the Vikings offense. Performance degraded more than most quarterbacks when pressured. Didn’t have trouble facing down defenders, but his biggest issue with turnovers cropped up against pressure. Like Mond, he’s not as aggressive downfield as he could be, especially given his accuracy advantage downfield. He’s maybe a little too quick to go to checkdowns. Deep accuracy is the only level of accuracy he’s had success with and that has the highest volatility and most limited sample size; accuracy intermediate and short is extremely worrisome. He holds on to the ball too long and doesn’t throw with timing, and getting the ball out late gives defenders chances to close on routes. Slower processor might not be fixable in the NFL. Doesn’t use extra time to scan progression; often stares receivers down. Doesn’t move as well as he tested and has issues creating additional yardage past the line of scrimmage or avoiding rushers once they arrive in the pocket.
theathletic.com/2688484/2021/07/05/minnesota-vikings-roster-breakdown-a-make-or-break-year-for-qb-kirk-cousins/