Post by Funkytown on Apr 11, 2017 17:38:31 GMT -6
What are the Prospects for Laquon Treadwell? by Arif Hasan
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Treadwell fares poorly in many of the categories that suggest room for redemption. He averaged 1.7 yards per game, averaged 0.33 targets per game — the average in the set was 2.4 targets per game, while the three successes averaged 2.2 — and was a higher-than-average draft pick at 23. His best showing was in college receiving share, where he earned 35 percent of his team’s receiving yards.
Even in his best category, there’s room to worry. The breakout receivers earned over 40 percent of their team’s receiving yards and it seems like there’s a high threshold in that category in terms of identifying who can overcome their poor rookie seasons.
Players who had poor rookie years in the NFL and earned at least 40 percent of their college team’s receiving yards averaged twice as many as those poor rookie performers with fewer than 40 percent of their team’s receiving yards.
Altogether, Treadwell’s profile is substantially worse than all three of the successes while also being worse than the three biggest failures.
In fact, when compared to the 35 players in the data, Treadwell has the single-worst performance by percentile and the third-worst performance by the weighted model.
Link: zonecoverage.com/2017/vikings/what-are-the-prospects-for-laquon-treadwell/
Between 2002 and 2012, there were 35 receivers who were drafted in the first two rounds who appeared in at least one game and posted under 300 yards receiving for the season. Only three of them ended up as 800+ yard receivers — Demaryius Thomas, Vincent Jackson and Golden Tate — while the rest of them fell short.
The next two most productive receivers that follow are not who Vikings fans would want Treadwell to aspire to: Rueben Randle and the Steve Smith who played for the Giants.
The next two most productive receivers that follow are not who Vikings fans would want Treadwell to aspire to: Rueben Randle and the Steve Smith who played for the Giants.
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Treadwell fares poorly in many of the categories that suggest room for redemption. He averaged 1.7 yards per game, averaged 0.33 targets per game — the average in the set was 2.4 targets per game, while the three successes averaged 2.2 — and was a higher-than-average draft pick at 23. His best showing was in college receiving share, where he earned 35 percent of his team’s receiving yards.
Even in his best category, there’s room to worry. The breakout receivers earned over 40 percent of their team’s receiving yards and it seems like there’s a high threshold in that category in terms of identifying who can overcome their poor rookie seasons.
Players who had poor rookie years in the NFL and earned at least 40 percent of their college team’s receiving yards averaged twice as many as those poor rookie performers with fewer than 40 percent of their team’s receiving yards.
Altogether, Treadwell’s profile is substantially worse than all three of the successes while also being worse than the three biggest failures.
In fact, when compared to the 35 players in the data, Treadwell has the single-worst performance by percentile and the third-worst performance by the weighted model.
Link: zonecoverage.com/2017/vikings/what-are-the-prospects-for-laquon-treadwell/
... and neither is this Chris guy.