Post by Deleted on Oct 7, 2020 21:24:50 GMT -6
I have long been of the belief that the NFL Combine is a complete waste of time,save for the player interviews,of the entire draft evaluation process.
And yet GMs and analytics personnel continue to be enamoured by how prospects perform in on field drills and the weight room when they should be placing much greater emphasis on players game tape.
The two most obvious cases of this in recent times that stick in my mind are OT Orlando Brown and WR DK Metcalf.
Brown went from being a first round lock to being picked in round 3 of the draft after many believed his combine workouts were poor.He has since gone on to be one of the better tackles in the NFL,grading out on PFF as the 34th ranked OT (for OTs that played a minimum 50% of snaps) in his rookie year playing 70% of Baltimores offensive snaps.He improved in 2019 to be graded 10th,and is currently sitting at 17th.
Metcalf was rated very highly by draft scouts going off his tape.An elite deep threat with great hands and size who should be coveted by NFL GMs,even though his game had some flaws.
After the combine,some questioned if Metcalf was the real deal,and with his history of a neck injury which required surgery factored in,some started second guessing the 1st round status of Metcalf.
He subsequently fell to the Seahawks in the 2nd round (pick 64) and his performance thus far would have a lot of NFL scouts and GMs wondering how they got it wrong.
Metcalf finished 5th in deep passing his rookie year hauling in 4 TDs from 10 receptions with 365 yards and 3 drops,behind leader Stefon Diggs,6 TDs/16 Recs/635 yds/2 Drops.
So far in 2020,Metcalf sits atop the deep passing leader board with 257 yards from 6 receptions,3 TDs and no drops.
For an explanation on how he fell so far,when I was researching this story I came across this great article by Benjamin Solak at TDN. Rather than me trying to explain what happened,Ben does it much better here: