Post by Purple Pain on Mar 31, 2019 20:07:04 GMT -6
Old piece I found:
A Look At Halftime Wins and Success by LoonGoon
Link: www.dailynorseman.com/2019/1/4/18168929/a-look-at-halftime-wins-and-success
A Look At Halftime Wins and Success by LoonGoon
There are many reasons and individuals we can blame for a disappointing 2018 season so I will start by saying that I will try to not get into that. However, as I have become a more avid Vikings fan, starting in the 2016 season, one statistic I heard that stuck out to me the most was how many games the Vikings win if they go into the half with a lead.
I understand that statistics can be misinterpreted and correlation does not necessarily lead to causation but after doing some analysis on the Vikings going into the half and their win success during the 2017 and 2018 seasons, I was not surprised.
Comparing the 2017 (13-3) and 2018 (8-7-1) seasons, one can clearly see that a majority of wins from the Vikings are when they are ahead at the half. 18 of the 21 wins (86%) in the past two seasons showcase the statistical chances of Vikings winning the game if ahead by the half, noted as "Statistical Wins" above.
The "Outlier Win" in 2018 was against the Packers (Game 11) when both teams went into the half tied (14-14). This season, the Packers have been playing terribly so it makes sense for the Vikings to win that game (24-17).
The "Outlier Wins" in 2017 were against the Browns (Game 8) and Rams (Game 10) where the Browns were ahead by 1 point (12-13) and the Rams were tied (7-7) going into half time. We all know how different the Browns were in 2017 compared to 2018 and the game against the Rams could have gone either way had the defense not stepped up and shut them down.
There were no "Outlier Losses" in 2018 meaning ALL of the losses (including the tie with the Packers Game 2) were when the Vikings were down going into the half.
The one "Outlier Loss" in 2017 was attributed by the Lions (Game 4) when the Vikings were ahead 7-3 going into the half. That was the game that Dalvin got injured and Thielen made a horrendous fumble that gave the ball back to the Lions with less than 2 minutes remaining in the game. The dull silver-lining is that out of the 11 losses in 32 games, we only lost once when going into the half ahead.
So what does this tell me? A couple things...
I understand that statistics can be misinterpreted and correlation does not necessarily lead to causation but after doing some analysis on the Vikings going into the half and their win success during the 2017 and 2018 seasons, I was not surprised.
Comparing the 2017 (13-3) and 2018 (8-7-1) seasons, one can clearly see that a majority of wins from the Vikings are when they are ahead at the half. 18 of the 21 wins (86%) in the past two seasons showcase the statistical chances of Vikings winning the game if ahead by the half, noted as "Statistical Wins" above.
The "Outlier Win" in 2018 was against the Packers (Game 11) when both teams went into the half tied (14-14). This season, the Packers have been playing terribly so it makes sense for the Vikings to win that game (24-17).
The "Outlier Wins" in 2017 were against the Browns (Game 8) and Rams (Game 10) where the Browns were ahead by 1 point (12-13) and the Rams were tied (7-7) going into half time. We all know how different the Browns were in 2017 compared to 2018 and the game against the Rams could have gone either way had the defense not stepped up and shut them down.
There were no "Outlier Losses" in 2018 meaning ALL of the losses (including the tie with the Packers Game 2) were when the Vikings were down going into the half.
The one "Outlier Loss" in 2017 was attributed by the Lions (Game 4) when the Vikings were ahead 7-3 going into the half. That was the game that Dalvin got injured and Thielen made a horrendous fumble that gave the ball back to the Lions with less than 2 minutes remaining in the game. The dull silver-lining is that out of the 11 losses in 32 games, we only lost once when going into the half ahead.
So what does this tell me? A couple things...
Link: www.dailynorseman.com/2019/1/4/18168929/a-look-at-halftime-wins-and-success
No wait, Reignman would have done all the teams to provide some context. Maybe he'll do that soon because we don't know if those numbers are good or bad. And then maybe we should compare Zim to nightmare coaches from xmas past.
... and neither is this Chris guy.