[OC] Vikings at Eagles Strat-O-Matic Simulation


Oct 6, 2018 14:14:06 GMT -6 6 Replies
Welcome back to another round of Strat-O-Matic football, where I'll be simulating the rematch of the Vikings-Eagles NFC Championship game!

Before we get to the summary of the game, I'm having a special feature to start this game. I gave a special opportunity to one of those rubes out there to call their own plays - the first two drives of this game will be called by honorary offensive coordinator Reignman! Let's see how it goes!


Q1 Drive 1
(opening drive from the 24 yard line)
1:10 - Deep pass to Diggs incomplete
2:10 - 12 yard pass completed to Rudolph
1:10 - 11 yard pass completed to Thielen
1:10 - 2 yard run by Murray
2:8 - Short pass to Rudolph incomplete
3:8 - 6 yard pass completed to Diggs
4:2 - 8 yard pass completed to Rudolph
1:10 - 37 yard pass completed to Rudolph, Touchdown!! (MIN 7-0)

Q1 Drive 2
1:10 - Cousins pass deep to Thielen is intercepted by Ronald Darby.
Well, there you go! Reignman's pass-happy gameplan worked for the first drive, although Cousins threw short of the sticks on 3rd down, which I'm sure infuriated him. Thankfully I wasn't going to let the Vikings punt there and Rudolph got to play the role of the hero. The 37 yard TD pass was actually caught 10 yards out, but the Eagles defense completely failed to cover/tackle him and he was able to cash it in for the TD.

Unfortunately Reignman's love for throwing the ball downfield strategy ended with a pick on the very first play of the next drive, and the Eagles would take a 10-7 lead thanks to Cousins' bad throw. 

Alright, now let's see how the entire game went:


GAME SUMMARY

Q1
12:05 MIN 37 yard TD pass Cousins to Rudolph (MIN 7-0).
8:33 PHI 22 yard TD run HB Smallwood (7-7).
8:17 MIN Cousins intercepted by CB Darby.
5:40 PHI 51 yard FG is good. (PHI 10-7)
4:50 MIN punt.
4:29 MIN recovers fumble by HB Smallwood.
3:48 MIN 48 yard FG is good (10-10).
3:03 PHI punt.
2:27 MIN Cousins intercepted by CB S. Jones, returned for a TD (PHI 17-10).

Q2
14:22 MIN 6 yard TD pass Cousins to Thielen (17-17).
13:58 PHI punt.
11:32 MIN 47 yard FG is no good.
8:26 PHI 43 yard FG is good (PHI 20-17).
3:06 MIN 4 yard TD pass Cousins to Thielen (ex. point is no good) (MIN 23-20).
1:33 PHI 39 yard TD pass Wentz to Agholor (PHI 27-23).
0:55 MIN punt.
0:02 PHI 30 yard FG is good... wait, holding penalty. 40 yard FG is no good!

Q3
12:33 PHI punt.
8:25 MIN 43 yard FG is good. (PHI 27-26)
[MIN LB Kendricks injured, return probable]
4:39 PHI 15 yard TD pass Wentz to Ajayi (PHI 34-26).
3:27 MIN punt.
0:58 PHI 44 yard FG is good (PHI 37-26).

Q4
14:35 MIN punt.
11:10 PHI 29 yard FG is good (PHI 40-26).
7:39 MIN 8 yard TD pass Cousins to Diggs (PHI 40-33).
5:32 PHI punt.
2:53 MIN 4 yard TD run HB Murray (40-40).
1:35 PHI punt.
0:06 MIN 45 yard FG is blocked!

OT
7:32 PHI punt.
6:08 MIN punt.
5:15 PHI punt.
3:51 MIN punt.
0:00 PHI 34 yard FG is good... wait, another hold! 44 yard FG is good. (Final PHI 43, MIN 40 OT)


BOX SCORE


(other notes: Eagles HB Clement and HB Cook were assumed to be out with injuries. Eagles had 9 penalties and Vikings had 5.)


Once again, I'm left having to make excuses. First off, my Strat-O-Matic games average about 26 points per team or around 50 points combined per game. Today we 83 and nearly 1,000 yards passing, and I can tell that in around 100-200 games I have simulated, I've never had a 500 yard passer. And of course, the game somehow knows who the Vikings are. Of course the Vikings miss a winning FG and two other kicks! I set both teams to "below average pass defense" and all hell broke loose (there are also "poor" and "very poor" ratings that would have lead to even more yards!).

After Cousins' two interceptions in the first quarter, he was nearly perfect from then on. He did get strip-sacked in overtime, but there were only 3 sacks in an insane 71 dropbacks. With the Eagles having the best run defense in football, I mostly kept the ball out of Boone's and Murray's hands. Roc Thomas fumbled the ball the first carry he got, so I immediately placed him back on the bench. Diggs and Thielen were about what you'd expect, but each had one drop on key plays. The Eagles could not contain Rudolph as he added a 50 yard catch near the end of regulation... I wish he could play like that in real life. Treadwell also is much better on paper than in real life.

Meanwhile, the Vikings' defense was as atrocious as it looked on paper. Sure, they actually stopped the run and forced a fumble (who knew they could do that?), but they managed one sack on 58 Wentz dropbacks... and Weatherly's sack came with 2:10 left in OT!! That's 68 minutes with a single sack! The pass defense was about the same as it was against the Rams - even mediocre WRs like Jordan Matthews got huge plays with no effort. Nelson Agholor dropped two passes but still dominated the secondary. The Vikings dropped an interception, because of course they would.

But, in the end, Bailey missed 2 FGs, one being a game winner, and Jake Elliott hit his, though those holding penalties on two of the kicks (!!) made things more dramatic. That's some crazy stuff right there.

I'm sorry for the third straight simulation I couldn't get the Vikings a win... but this'd make an exciting game in real life, wouldn't you think? Any thoughts from you guys?

Is there anyone out there who would like a crack at being the offensive coordinator for a few drives? ?

[OC] Vikings at Eagles Strat-O-Matic Simulation

Shoutbox

salamander: Not feeling good unless we can find a QB. Haven't had a great one in a looooooong time. Feb 22, 2024 13:43:06 GMT -6
Reignman: March 11th, 2024 will live in history as Kirk Cousins Independence Day *cheerleader* Mar 11, 2024 16:34:20 GMT -6
salbrecht: Why can Pittsburg sign Russel Wilson fo 1.2 million and we get Sam Darnold for 10 million?? Mar 13, 2024 18:31:25 GMT -6
Reignman: when you put it like that, it's a real head scratcher, but this franchise is all about their precious culture, so I imagine they passed on a guy like Russ over something silly like that ... Darnold will have a big smile when he's throwing all the INT's Mar 14, 2024 17:44:47 GMT -6
shandman: If I am NE, I seriously consider getting Justin Fields and roll with Fields/Brisset this year.

For Vikings to actually pull this off they probably have to trade #11, #23 and 2025 first rounder. In return, they hopefully get #3 overall this year and NE's
Mar 15, 2024 19:29:01 GMT -6
glenwo2: Saying that Darnold will have a big smile when he's throwing all the INT's is quite the Take, Reignman. Mar 16, 2024 20:17:05 GMT -6
Nemesis: Good grief....first I hear....and then I hear...I think I better go back to being gone. *woot* ??? Mar 22, 2024 15:24:17 GMT -6
Norseman: You were gone? Mar 22, 2024 22:30:40 GMT -6
Nemesis: I'm a long gone daddy www.youtube.com/watch?v=jtpe6_2nCts Mar 23, 2024 9:39:00 GMT -6
glenwo2: Norseman is Nemesis' Daddy! You heard it here first, folks. Mar 25, 2024 12:26:17 GMT -6
glenwo2: I'm kidding of course, Nemesis. :) Mar 25, 2024 12:27:05 GMT -6
Norseman: How do you know that it isn't true? Mar 25, 2024 14:28:23 GMT -6
glenwo2: Because Nemesis is the Mod and I'm just a punk rookie acting like a goofball. Mar 25, 2024 16:57:35 GMT -6
Nemesis: Plus glenwo2 is probably my dad, he just likes messing with me from the beyond. Mar 26, 2024 17:13:40 GMT -6
Reignman: Oh great, Nemesis believes in ghosts now too? Did ghost dad remember his name or only the first initial after you recited the alphabet? Apr 1, 2024 22:17:26 GMT -6
Nemesis: We agreed before he died that he would use the name "glenwo" and contact me on the PP shoutbox, but the "2" has me a bit confused. Did I miss his first attempt at contact? Apr 5, 2024 8:22:45 GMT -6
glenwo2: Well glenwo1 was busy that day.... Apr 6, 2024 3:01:11 GMT -6
Nemesis: This is amazing. That's exactly what he told me he would say! :'( Apr 13, 2024 16:48:32 GMT -6
slidell: Sell out and do what it takes to get Daniels.Mccarthy and Maye are Ponders waiting to happen Apr 22, 2024 14:37:23 GMT -6
SiteWolf: What about Daniels separates him that much from Maye? His old team didn't whine when he left ASU, his frame as it is right now will struggle to stay healthy with his playing style...so is he really the better prospect? Apr 24, 2024 13:47:01 GMT -6
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