Post by Reignman on Dec 19, 2017 9:26:48 GMT -6
I don't see Tennessee or Buffalo making the playoffs. Tennessee has 2 home games remaining but they're against the Rams and Jaguars. Meanwhile Baltimore has home games against the Colts and Bengals. Tennessee does hold the head to head tie-breaker vs Baltimore so that's their only shot. Buffalo has 2 road games, at New England and at Miami so that's not going to be easy. Chargers are at Jets and home vs Oakland, which isn't difficult. I see the Ravens and Chargers getting in. Chargers have the head to head tie-breaker over Buffalo. And if Atlanta doesn't choke I think the NFC is pretty much set.
Here's a neat little site with the odds for each team, scenarios, and important games for each team.
www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfl.html
So I guess that's where 538 got the 92% from.
Here's a neat little site with the odds for each team, scenarios, and important games for each team.
www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfl.html
SEED #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 out
1. PHI 99% 1% - - - - -
2. MIN 1% 92% 5% 2% - - -
3. LAR - 2% 57% 40% <1% <1% 1%
4. NOS - 1% 25% 37% 30% 4% 3%
5. CAR - 3% 5% 11% 63% 15% 3%
6. ATL - <1% 8% 10% 7% 51% 24%
DET - - - - <1% 18% 82%
SEA - - - 1% <1% 8% 90%
DAL - - - - <1% 3% 97%
SEED #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 out
1. NEP 75% 14% 11% - - - -
2. PIT 23% 69% 8% - - - -
3. JAX 2% 17% 75% - 6% - -
4. KAN - - - 93% <1% <1% 5%
5. TEN - - 3% 2% 23% 33% 39%
6. BUF - - - - 10% 28% 62%
BAL - - - - 61% 26% 13%
LAC - - - 5% <1% 9% 86%
OAK - - - - - <1% 99%
MIA - - - - <1% 4% 95%
So I guess that's where 538 got the 92% from.
