Post by Funkytown on Oct 16, 2023 10:58:41 GMT -6
Arif Hasan:
Link:
wideleftpost.substack.com/p/vikings-learn-the-expensive-lessons
Vikings Defense Coming Into Its Own
Entering the game, the Vikings defense gave up 24.4 points per game, the tenth-most in the NFL. They ranked 21st in EPA allowed per play. But they held the Bears to their second-lowest point total of the season and the Panthers to their lowest point total.
In between was a disappointing defense performance against the Kansas City Chiefs, but it nevertheless feels like the defense is coming into some sort of form entering the midseason stretch.
Certainly, a set of turnovers – one by Jordan Hicks, another from Josh Metellus and one from Murphy – helped the overall defensive performance, but the Bears not only found themselves limited to 13 points but gave up six of their own on Hicks’ scoop-and-score from Metellus’ forced fumble.
The Bears managed just -0.30 EPA per play. Even when stripping away the impact of the turnovers, the Bears managed just 0.00 EPA per play. That is to say, the Bears with no turnovers played as well as the average NFL offense with turnovers.
When all teams get to remove turnovers from their play, they average 0.07 EPA per play.
This defensive success came almost entirely from the Vikings’ front. In addition to the persistent blitzing, the Vikings’ front four – sometimes three – kept both Tyson Bagent and Justin Fields under constant pressure. Because both have issues with sack avoidance, the Vikings racked up five sacks and eight quarterback hits. Both interceptions came under pressure.
They didn’t play against a good offense, but they held that offense to play below its standards. That’s a start and puts them in a better place than they were to start the season or the expectations they set up from their play last year.
Danielle Hunter ended up with two of their sacks while D.J. Wonnum, Harrison Phillips and Metellus all logged a sack apiece. While the Vikings’ sacks came about in part because of excellent individual effort, especially from Hunter, much of it came as a result of scheme. Wonnum, for example, continued his tradition of earning sacks on unblocked pressures.
The rapid evolution of the Vikings defense over the course of the year certainly has its growing pains – and will continue to have those pains going forward – but might mean there’s more there than meets the eye.
If they can do more than make mediocre offenses look worse than they usually are, that might mean a turnaround.
Entering the game, the Vikings defense gave up 24.4 points per game, the tenth-most in the NFL. They ranked 21st in EPA allowed per play. But they held the Bears to their second-lowest point total of the season and the Panthers to their lowest point total.
In between was a disappointing defense performance against the Kansas City Chiefs, but it nevertheless feels like the defense is coming into some sort of form entering the midseason stretch.
Certainly, a set of turnovers – one by Jordan Hicks, another from Josh Metellus and one from Murphy – helped the overall defensive performance, but the Bears not only found themselves limited to 13 points but gave up six of their own on Hicks’ scoop-and-score from Metellus’ forced fumble.
The Bears managed just -0.30 EPA per play. Even when stripping away the impact of the turnovers, the Bears managed just 0.00 EPA per play. That is to say, the Bears with no turnovers played as well as the average NFL offense with turnovers.
When all teams get to remove turnovers from their play, they average 0.07 EPA per play.
This defensive success came almost entirely from the Vikings’ front. In addition to the persistent blitzing, the Vikings’ front four – sometimes three – kept both Tyson Bagent and Justin Fields under constant pressure. Because both have issues with sack avoidance, the Vikings racked up five sacks and eight quarterback hits. Both interceptions came under pressure.
They didn’t play against a good offense, but they held that offense to play below its standards. That’s a start and puts them in a better place than they were to start the season or the expectations they set up from their play last year.
Danielle Hunter ended up with two of their sacks while D.J. Wonnum, Harrison Phillips and Metellus all logged a sack apiece. While the Vikings’ sacks came about in part because of excellent individual effort, especially from Hunter, much of it came as a result of scheme. Wonnum, for example, continued his tradition of earning sacks on unblocked pressures.
The rapid evolution of the Vikings defense over the course of the year certainly has its growing pains – and will continue to have those pains going forward – but might mean there’s more there than meets the eye.
If they can do more than make mediocre offenses look worse than they usually are, that might mean a turnaround.
Link:
wideleftpost.substack.com/p/vikings-learn-the-expensive-lessons