Post by mikenessfan on Mar 28, 2023 17:11:23 GMT -6
Would be a huge mistake taking hooker especially in the first round. His offense in college was designed under a coordinator using high school playbook and would out scheme the defense. His receivers were always at least 2 steps ahead of the defensive players. He always had guys open. Thor Nystrom has talked about this with Hooker as well as other draft analyst’s. His deep ball is bad and he only has had to read half the field. He will also be 25 when the season starts. I’m out on him. I really hope the Vikings are too.
www.acmepackingcompany.com/by-the-numbers/2023/3/27/23655211/qbops-statistics-glossary-qwoba-wrops-apc-homegrown-stats-quarterback-evaluation
Since QBOPS was created, I’ve used a cutoff for prospects that works reasonably well, known as the .400/.600 group. A .400 QBOBP is a completion percentage of about 68%, and a .600 QBSLG represents a Y/C of approximately about 12.5. In 2019, the .400/.600 group included Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, Tyler Huntley, Justin Fields, plus near misses from a sophomore Trevor Lawrence, and Justin Herbert. In 2022, that list includes Hendon Hooker, KJ Jefferson, CJ Stroud, Stetson Bennett, Bo Nix, Caleb Williams, and Grayson McCall. Bryce Young didn’t quite make the cutoff in 2022, but he did in 2021.
Hendon Hooker, who really did have an outstanding statistical season, led 2022 in QwOBA at 124, followed by CJ Stroud at 121. In the outstanding 2019 class, Joe Burrow and Tua tied with a QwOBA of 139, followed closely by Jalen Hurts’ 138.
One other thing from that article, Jalen Hyatt at WR might be a good option after trading down based on these numbers:
WRAPS
WRAPS isn’t an acronym, it’s a combination of WROPS and Kent Lee Platte’s Relative Athletic Score (RAS). WRAPS exists on a 20 point scale (though a truly outstanding WROPS can occasionally push someone slightly over), and tells us, in one number, which prospects have the best combination of college production and athleticism. WRAPS is still ongoing as Pro Day scores come in and RAS is updated.
So far in 2022, Jalin Hyatt, Matt Landers, and Marvin Mims lead the way with WRAPS over 19.
2021’s WRAPS leaders were Christian Watson, Kevin Austin, and George Pickens.
WRAPS isn’t an acronym, it’s a combination of WROPS and Kent Lee Platte’s Relative Athletic Score (RAS). WRAPS exists on a 20 point scale (though a truly outstanding WROPS can occasionally push someone slightly over), and tells us, in one number, which prospects have the best combination of college production and athleticism. WRAPS is still ongoing as Pro Day scores come in and RAS is updated.
So far in 2022, Jalin Hyatt, Matt Landers, and Marvin Mims lead the way with WRAPS over 19.
2021’s WRAPS leaders were Christian Watson, Kevin Austin, and George Pickens.
You mentioned Hyatt. I’ve seen the dissection and tape study for that tennesse offense with Hooker and Hyatt. I will try to post it here if I find it again. But essentially it was showing that the Tennessee coach would completely out scheme the d coordinator every week putting the defense in bad match up problems. It was also essentially using high school plays. This allowed Hyatt to always be 2 steps in front of the defender. I’m not saying he will be a terrible wr in the nfl or Hooker will be terrible, but seriously question how good these guys will actually do in the nfl because of the type of offense they played in last year. That won’t work in the nfl. For receivers and where we will be picking in round 1 I like Johnston and Flowers. Those are the two guys I’m thrilled with picking in round 1. No thanks to the Ohio state kid. Seen too much of him in break downs where he isn’t going to be anything special in the nfl.