4th Quarter Comebacks and Game Winning Drives 2018-20


Dec 13, 2020 15:31:54 GMT -6 68 Replies
We've had some debate on Kirk Cousins and the ability to come from behind in 4th quarter comeback situations. I finished the chart provided by MN Researcher (source here) and here are my results. Enjoy!

Rules 

  • An opportunity occurs any time the team is trailing in the 4th quarter, or comes into the quarter in a tie game
  • A 4th quarter comeback includes a game winning drive, or tying the game to get to overtime. If the offense gets another chance and fails, it no longer counts
  • What happens in overtime is currently not factored in. Therefore, winning drives in overtime do not count. This would cause conflicts with how I am counting comebacks as tied games, and also saved me some time skipping over the overtime play.
  • Currently not including playoff games
  • This list is currently going up to Week 12 2020.


Top 5 QBs at making comebacks:



We have 4 of the best QBs on the list, and Josh Allen... he's proved himself as a franchise QB this season and has been able to take the Bills on many comebacks.


Bottom 5 QBs at making comebacks:



Yup, there's Kirk tied for the 3rd worst at making comebacks. Under my new criteria, Kirk gets credit for the 4th quarter comeback against the Packers in 2018 where Carlson missed 3 FGs. Outside of that, Kirk has been unable to bring this team back. So has Matt Ryan, who has suffered through some bad defenses, but he's also guilty of failing to take advantage when they jump out to big leads, but end up blowing the game. Darnold, Winston, and Jones are just sucky QBs who surprisingly are not good at making comebacks.


You might wonder how often QBs have to attempt comebacks. Let's see who has the luxury of not having to, and which QBs always have to.

Top 5 QBs who Always Have to Make Comebacks



Wow, those are some high numbers! Dalton, Tannehill, and Keenum basically have to make comebacks every single week. That's no surprise for Andy or Case, but Tannehill has been a part of a really good Titans team, yet he's always needed to come back. Minshew has been backed by a horrible Jags defense, but Foles has had the Eagles' and Bears' defenses, yet I'd argue it's his poor ability to score points that puts him behind all the time.


Top 5 QBs who Never Have to Make Comebacks



Most of these teams have good defenses, but Mahomes is in another class of his own, and has had no need to make comebacks. Brady being high on this list is no surprise.


Finally, here's the entire list:




Any thoughts?

4th Quarter Comebacks and Game Winning Drives 2018-20

Shoutbox

Purple Pain: Pick 6 Playoffs Edition for Championship Weekend: purplepainforums.com/thread/7572/pick-playoffs-edition-championship-weekend Jan 25, 2024 11:02:04 GMT -6
Purple Pain: Pick 6 Playoffs Edition for the Super Bowl is up: purplepainforums.com/thread/7585/pick-playoffs-edition-super-lviii Jan 31, 2024 11:33:55 GMT -6
salamander: Not feeling good unless we can find a QB. Haven't had a great one in a looooooong time. Feb 22, 2024 13:43:06 GMT -6
Reignman: March 11th, 2024 will live in history as Kirk Cousins Independence Day *cheerleader* Mar 11, 2024 16:34:20 GMT -6
salbrecht: Why can Pittsburg sign Russel Wilson fo 1.2 million and we get Sam Darnold for 10 million?? Mar 13, 2024 18:31:25 GMT -6
Reignman: when you put it like that, it's a real head scratcher, but this franchise is all about their precious culture, so I imagine they passed on a guy like Russ over something silly like that ... Darnold will have a big smile when he's throwing all the INT's Mar 14, 2024 17:44:47 GMT -6
shandman: If I am NE, I seriously consider getting Justin Fields and roll with Fields/Brisset this year.

For Vikings to actually pull this off they probably have to trade #11, #23 and 2025 first rounder. In return, they hopefully get #3 overall this year and NE's
Mar 15, 2024 19:29:01 GMT -6
glenwo2: Saying that Darnold will have a big smile when he's throwing all the INT's is quite the Take, Reignman. Mar 16, 2024 20:17:05 GMT -6
Nemesis: Good grief....first I hear....and then I hear...I think I better go back to being gone. *woot* ??? Mar 22, 2024 15:24:17 GMT -6
Norseman: You were gone? Mar 22, 2024 22:30:40 GMT -6
Nemesis: I'm a long gone daddy www.youtube.com/watch?v=jtpe6_2nCts Mar 23, 2024 9:39:00 GMT -6
glenwo2: Norseman is Nemesis' Daddy! You heard it here first, folks. Mar 25, 2024 12:26:17 GMT -6
glenwo2: I'm kidding of course, Nemesis. :) Mar 25, 2024 12:27:05 GMT -6
Norseman: How do you know that it isn't true? Mar 25, 2024 14:28:23 GMT -6
glenwo2: Because Nemesis is the Mod and I'm just a punk rookie acting like a goofball. Mar 25, 2024 16:57:35 GMT -6
Nemesis: Plus glenwo2 is probably my dad, he just likes messing with me from the beyond. Mar 26, 2024 17:13:40 GMT -6
Reignman: Oh great, Nemesis believes in ghosts now too? Did ghost dad remember his name or only the first initial after you recited the alphabet? Apr 1, 2024 22:17:26 GMT -6
Nemesis: We agreed before he died that he would use the name "glenwo" and contact me on the PP shoutbox, but the "2" has me a bit confused. Did I miss his first attempt at contact? Apr 5, 2024 8:22:45 GMT -6
glenwo2: Well glenwo1 was busy that day.... Apr 6, 2024 3:01:11 GMT -6
Nemesis: This is amazing. That's exactly what he told me he would say! :'( Apr 13, 2024 16:48:32 GMT -6
Shout as:
Refresh
  • Bold
  • Italic
  • Underline
  • Strikethrough
  • Link
  • Insert Smiley
0/256 Send Cancel
© 2022 Purple Pain Forums

Purple Pain Forums is an independent fan website and not associated with the Minnesota Vikings or the National Football League (NFL). The content posted by individuals on this website reflect their personal opinions and in no way reflect the views of the Minnesota Vikings, NFL, or associated properties. Purple Pain Forums and its affiliates are not responsible for any content posted by our users as it is the property of the poster.