Post by Danchat on Sept 18, 2020 18:30:21 GMT -6
Both the Vikings and Colts had disappointing Week 1 games - the Vikings got roasted by their rival Packers, and the Colts dropped a winnable game against the "tanking" Jaguars. Which team will avoid starting 0-2?
Line: Colts -3
Injury Report
Vikings
CB Dantlzer Out
(RG Elflein on IR)
Colts
TE Doyle Out
WR Pascal Questionable
S Blackmon Questionable
DE Houston Questionable
WR Pittman Jr. Questionable
CB Rodgers Questionable
(HB Mack on IR)
*My Thoughts*
The Colts are a team stuck in no-man's land - they were supposed to be a Super Bowl contender as they had finally built the roster around Andrew Luck, and then he retired with no warning. Jacoby Brissett proved he wasn't a franchise QB last year, so now the Colts are trying out Philip Rivers as their starting QB after spending 14 years as the Chargers' starting QB. So far, it hasn't worked. Rivers looked like his 2019 self; he's certainly capable of hitting his receivers with accurate passes, but the mental lapses and completely baffling throws a rookie would usually make are still here. The Vikings' pass defense may be among the worst in the league, but even last year Rivers looked like a shell of his former self.
This offense has the potential to be really good, as they have a great offensive line and some talented skill players. Rookie Jonathan Taylor was a monster at Wisconsin and will be a challenging back to tackle, and Nyheim Hines is a solid receiving back. Hilton is a dangerous receiver when healthy, which he currently is. Indy has needed a 2nd receiver to step up, and it appears Parris Campbell is that guy. He did very little in his rookie season last year, but he was battling injuries. He's a super speedy slot receiver similar to Valdes-Scantling from last week, except with good hands. Zach Pascal isn't anything special, but did well when their WR corps fell apart last season. Indy's top 2 TEs are hurt, so with Doyle and Trey Buton hurt, UDFA Mo Alie-Cox will fill in as the starter. I'd expect to see a lot of 3 WR packages, especially with how thin the Vikings' CB corps are.
The Colts have built a fantastic offensive line, but the offensive results they've posted without Luck have been disappointing. They spent 1st round picks on Castonzo, Nelson, and Kelly and all have panned out. Nelson might be the best guard in the league since Marshal Yanda retired. They also spent a 2nd rounder on RT Braden Smith, who profiled at guard, but turned out to be a quality RT. Glowinski was a failed Seahawks 4th rounder who they developed into a passable player. This line is better at pass blocking as a group, and it will be hard to get pressure on Rivers. They haven't been a great run blocking group, however.
On defense, the Colts were subpar last year, and didn't look too good against the Jaguars in the opener. They have a bevy of talent in their front 7 - DeForest Buckner was their top acquisition, as they traded the 13th overall pick for him straight-up. Buckner reaped LG Tom Compton's soul back in 2018 Week 1, and hopefully the Vikings will be able to slow him down this time. Denico Autry moved to DE to make room for Buckner, and he's been a terrific pass rusher. Justin Houston isn't quite in his prime anymore at 31, but he did have 11 sacks last year, which was his best since 2014. Stewart and the rest of the backups aren't anything special, and this unit looks to be better at rushing the passer compared to stopping the run.
Darius Leonard is a stud LB who can shut down the run and cover TEs and HBs very well - he even made 5 interceptions last year. Anthony Walker is the only mediocre every down player on this defense. Perhaps Okereke will overtake him, as he has played well but 3rd LBs don't get used much these days.
The Colts' secondary gave up a 95% completion rate to Minshew last week, and I think this is the most vulnerable unit on the team. Rock Ya-Sin was fine as a 2nd rounder last year, but he's not ready to be taking on the likes of Adam Thielen. Xavier Rhodes was abysmal last year and didn't do well Week 1, and whoever lines up against him should be targeted frequently. Hooker is a decent player but can't stop getting hurt. Khari Willis was a 4th rounder who did well in run support, but struggled in coverage. I'd try to scheme Rudolph some plays in his direction, since Willis is only 5' 11".
Prediction: Colts 27, Vikings 24
This game is a total toss-up for me - the Colts have a solid roster but haven't played up to their talents, and the Vikings have their share of issues. I just don't see how the Vikings defense is going to be able to handle the Colts' O-line and receivers. This is certainly a winnable game, but I think the Colts have a better roster overall.
Any thoughts?
Line: Colts -3
Injury Report
Vikings
CB Dantlzer Out
(RG Elflein on IR)
Colts
TE Doyle Out
WR Pascal Questionable
S Blackmon Questionable
DE Houston Questionable
WR Pittman Jr. Questionable
CB Rodgers Questionable
(HB Mack on IR)
*My Thoughts*
The Colts are a team stuck in no-man's land - they were supposed to be a Super Bowl contender as they had finally built the roster around Andrew Luck, and then he retired with no warning. Jacoby Brissett proved he wasn't a franchise QB last year, so now the Colts are trying out Philip Rivers as their starting QB after spending 14 years as the Chargers' starting QB. So far, it hasn't worked. Rivers looked like his 2019 self; he's certainly capable of hitting his receivers with accurate passes, but the mental lapses and completely baffling throws a rookie would usually make are still here. The Vikings' pass defense may be among the worst in the league, but even last year Rivers looked like a shell of his former self.
This offense has the potential to be really good, as they have a great offensive line and some talented skill players. Rookie Jonathan Taylor was a monster at Wisconsin and will be a challenging back to tackle, and Nyheim Hines is a solid receiving back. Hilton is a dangerous receiver when healthy, which he currently is. Indy has needed a 2nd receiver to step up, and it appears Parris Campbell is that guy. He did very little in his rookie season last year, but he was battling injuries. He's a super speedy slot receiver similar to Valdes-Scantling from last week, except with good hands. Zach Pascal isn't anything special, but did well when their WR corps fell apart last season. Indy's top 2 TEs are hurt, so with Doyle and Trey Buton hurt, UDFA Mo Alie-Cox will fill in as the starter. I'd expect to see a lot of 3 WR packages, especially with how thin the Vikings' CB corps are.
The Colts have built a fantastic offensive line, but the offensive results they've posted without Luck have been disappointing. They spent 1st round picks on Castonzo, Nelson, and Kelly and all have panned out. Nelson might be the best guard in the league since Marshal Yanda retired. They also spent a 2nd rounder on RT Braden Smith, who profiled at guard, but turned out to be a quality RT. Glowinski was a failed Seahawks 4th rounder who they developed into a passable player. This line is better at pass blocking as a group, and it will be hard to get pressure on Rivers. They haven't been a great run blocking group, however.
On defense, the Colts were subpar last year, and didn't look too good against the Jaguars in the opener. They have a bevy of talent in their front 7 - DeForest Buckner was their top acquisition, as they traded the 13th overall pick for him straight-up. Buckner reaped LG Tom Compton's soul back in 2018 Week 1, and hopefully the Vikings will be able to slow him down this time. Denico Autry moved to DE to make room for Buckner, and he's been a terrific pass rusher. Justin Houston isn't quite in his prime anymore at 31, but he did have 11 sacks last year, which was his best since 2014. Stewart and the rest of the backups aren't anything special, and this unit looks to be better at rushing the passer compared to stopping the run.
Darius Leonard is a stud LB who can shut down the run and cover TEs and HBs very well - he even made 5 interceptions last year. Anthony Walker is the only mediocre every down player on this defense. Perhaps Okereke will overtake him, as he has played well but 3rd LBs don't get used much these days.
The Colts' secondary gave up a 95% completion rate to Minshew last week, and I think this is the most vulnerable unit on the team. Rock Ya-Sin was fine as a 2nd rounder last year, but he's not ready to be taking on the likes of Adam Thielen. Xavier Rhodes was abysmal last year and didn't do well Week 1, and whoever lines up against him should be targeted frequently. Hooker is a decent player but can't stop getting hurt. Khari Willis was a 4th rounder who did well in run support, but struggled in coverage. I'd try to scheme Rudolph some plays in his direction, since Willis is only 5' 11".
Prediction: Colts 27, Vikings 24
This game is a total toss-up for me - the Colts have a solid roster but haven't played up to their talents, and the Vikings have their share of issues. I just don't see how the Vikings defense is going to be able to handle the Colts' O-line and receivers. This is certainly a winnable game, but I think the Colts have a better roster overall.
Any thoughts?