[OC] UPCOMING SALARY CAP DECISIONS
The Vikings have some interesting decisions to make in the next couple of years regarding their star players, so I thought it was time to take a look at what we may be looking at in contract terms.
As it stands now, the Vikings are estimated to have $50.5 Million cap space in 2018.
Based on current position contracts in the NFL and each players production, I would estimate the following scenarios:
ANTHONY BARR
He's producing at a high level and will earn $12.3 million next year after the Vikings picked up his 5th year option.
The current high mark at the position is $12.5 million AAV set by the Jamie Collins contract last year, so Barr would be looking to better that.
Considering the yearly rises in the salary cap annually, my estimate would be around the $14 million mark AAV.
ERIC KENDRICKS
He isn't in the same class as Luke Kuechly, but nobody else is either.
I have Kendricks pegged at around the same level as Brandon Marshall/Danny Trevathan, who earn $8 million and $7 million AAV respectively, and his stats are at that point.
So I would expect Kendricks to be looking for something in the $8 million range AAV
DANIELLE HUNTER
This could be the big one.
The current high mark is Olivier Vernon, who signed an $85 million contract last year with an AAV of $17 million.
However Hunter has to prove that he can produce as a starter,with opponents game planning for him better than they have in previous years. Currently Hunter has 3 sacks compared to Griffen who has 9 and is second in the NFL. So based on an admittedly small sample size, Hunter is not anywhere near earning $17 million. He's more likely around $10.5/11 million AAV.
The caveat to all that of course is the ability of Mike Zimmer to develop young pass rushers. If Hunter can take the next step and elevate his game to where Griffen is, then Hunter could well be looking at $20 million AAV.
STEFON DIGGS
This is where opinions will no doubt be divided.
The current high is Antonio Brown whose contract pays him $17 million AAV, and Diggs is no Antonio Brown.
Based on his current level of production he would probably be looking around $10/11 million AAV. However the question becomes, do you want to pay a guy that amount of money when he can't stay healthy?
More than any player on this list, Diggs could well be affected by the achievements of other players currently on the roster, namely Laquon Treadwell and Michael Floyd. If one of these guys is able to step up and prove themselves as a reliable alternative, then Diggs may not be in a strong position from a negotiation standpoint. However if Diggs can get back to full health and finish the season without missing any more games, then play a full season next year,he may well be in line to force the Vikings hand. All three of these players have certainly had their issues, and with the lack of red zone production so far this season the Vikings may well decide to dip in to the free agent receiver market in 2018 with Jarvis Landry and Davante Adams among a host of options.
So there you have it. An early outline of what may be required to keep some key pieces on the roster, but what must be remembered is that the Vikings only have one QB signed for next year, and that is rookie Kyle Sloter.
What the Vikings do at the QB position is going to be the big decision for the offseason, and may well impact what happens to the above scenarios.
All salary cap info courtesy OTC
As it stands now, the Vikings are estimated to have $50.5 Million cap space in 2018.
Based on current position contracts in the NFL and each players production, I would estimate the following scenarios:
ANTHONY BARR
He's producing at a high level and will earn $12.3 million next year after the Vikings picked up his 5th year option.
The current high mark at the position is $12.5 million AAV set by the Jamie Collins contract last year, so Barr would be looking to better that.
Considering the yearly rises in the salary cap annually, my estimate would be around the $14 million mark AAV.
ERIC KENDRICKS
He isn't in the same class as Luke Kuechly, but nobody else is either.
I have Kendricks pegged at around the same level as Brandon Marshall/Danny Trevathan, who earn $8 million and $7 million AAV respectively, and his stats are at that point.
So I would expect Kendricks to be looking for something in the $8 million range AAV
DANIELLE HUNTER
This could be the big one.
The current high mark is Olivier Vernon, who signed an $85 million contract last year with an AAV of $17 million.
However Hunter has to prove that he can produce as a starter,with opponents game planning for him better than they have in previous years. Currently Hunter has 3 sacks compared to Griffen who has 9 and is second in the NFL. So based on an admittedly small sample size, Hunter is not anywhere near earning $17 million. He's more likely around $10.5/11 million AAV.
The caveat to all that of course is the ability of Mike Zimmer to develop young pass rushers. If Hunter can take the next step and elevate his game to where Griffen is, then Hunter could well be looking at $20 million AAV.
STEFON DIGGS
This is where opinions will no doubt be divided.
The current high is Antonio Brown whose contract pays him $17 million AAV, and Diggs is no Antonio Brown.
Based on his current level of production he would probably be looking around $10/11 million AAV. However the question becomes, do you want to pay a guy that amount of money when he can't stay healthy?
More than any player on this list, Diggs could well be affected by the achievements of other players currently on the roster, namely Laquon Treadwell and Michael Floyd. If one of these guys is able to step up and prove themselves as a reliable alternative, then Diggs may not be in a strong position from a negotiation standpoint. However if Diggs can get back to full health and finish the season without missing any more games, then play a full season next year,he may well be in line to force the Vikings hand. All three of these players have certainly had their issues, and with the lack of red zone production so far this season the Vikings may well decide to dip in to the free agent receiver market in 2018 with Jarvis Landry and Davante Adams among a host of options.
So there you have it. An early outline of what may be required to keep some key pieces on the roster, but what must be remembered is that the Vikings only have one QB signed for next year, and that is rookie Kyle Sloter.
What the Vikings do at the QB position is going to be the big decision for the offseason, and may well impact what happens to the above scenarios.
All salary cap info courtesy OTC